The situation in Bengaluru has further deteriorated, and the situation in kerela is also slowly following suit. We all must understand that the end result of this situation is really in our hands and depends on how we handle it, we must really make it a point to stay at home not only for ourselves but for our family, our friends and as a matter of fact for our country. Staying at home is the best you can do, and for older people, children and people with low immune systems there is no other option. Also keep in mind, if there is a need to go out please take all necessary precautions and stay safe, and practice physical distancing to the maximum. An ideal practice would be that you treat every individual as if they are infected or as if you are infected in order to avoid further spread of the virus. Stay Safe, Stay Strong
Key Highlights of today’s media briefing by Medical Education Minister Dr.K.Sudhakar
Criminal charges against Appollo Jayanagar and Vikram Hospitals for denying admission; OPD shut for 2 days
1419 nurses, 506 lab technicians, 916 pharmacists and D-group positions to be filled
D group workers in Health and Medical Education Department to get Rs.10000 risk allownce for 6 months
Group D workers in Health Department, Medical Education Minister who are working in covid hopsitals, covid care centres, swab collection centres, fever clinics will be given risk allowance of Rs.10,000 for next six months along with salary.
Corona warriors are no less than Gods. During the churning of ocean for nectar when posion came out Lord Shiva swallowed that poison to save mankind and became Vishakantha or Nanjundeshwara. Today our corona warriors be it doctors, nurses, healtcare workers, pourakarmikas, ambuoance drivers are like Nanjundeshwara who are doing self-less service putting their own lives at risk. A big salute to all our corona warriors. Minister appealed people to cooperate with corona warriors when they visit homes for door to door survey.
Despite many rounds of meetings with private hospitals to join hands with government in treatment of covid patients, few hospitals continue to refuse admission. Two private hospitals Apollo Jayanagar and Vikram Hospital have been served notice and OPD is ordered to be shut for 2 days as per Disaster Management Act and KPME Act.
Some private hospitals are charging more than capped price for patients visiting on their own. Strict action will be taken agaist such hopsitals including criminal charge. Private hospitals need to respect law and should refrain from exploiting people by charging exorbitant prices.
Minister had meeting with private medical colleges for more than 2 hours 30 minutes with managements of 25 medical collges who have not established covid testing labs yet. These private medical colleges have assured to start lab within 10 days. Notice has been issued to 2 private medical colleges – SDUMC, Kolar and Siddartha Medical College, Tumkur. Going forward minimum 500 tests will be conducted per day in each lab.
Three hospitals – Saptagiri Hospital, BGS Hospital and Dr.Ambedkar Hopsital have not reserved their quota of beds. They will provide beds in next 2-3 days.
There are about 10,000 beds in private medical colleges out of which 4500 beda will be reserved for covid patients. 2200 beds have been already provided and remaining 2300 beds will be provided in nexxt 2-3 days.
A dashboard has been created where public can view realtime data about availabilty of beds in hopsitals in Bengaluru.
People who have given swab sample for testing and have not received report but develop severe symptoms in mean time will be allocated bed through 108 ambulance despite test report.
1419 nurses, 506 lab technicians, 916 pharmacists and D-group positions are vacant. Powers have been given to DCs to appoint them on contract basis or sub-contract basis for 6 months or until recritiment is made.
Rs.25,000 for nurses, Rs.20,000 for lab technicians and pharmacists and existing pay scale for D group workers.
The revered panel included Bollywood actress, Soha Ali Khan, Pilates Expert and Diet & Nutrition Consultant, Madhuri Ruia, Ritika Samaddar, Regional Head – Dietetics, Max Healthcare – Delhi and Emily Fleischmann, VP – Global Marketing Development, Almond Board of California
INDIA, 14th July 2020: As people across the world, and India in particular adapt to the new definition of normal amidst the Covid-19 pandemic, Almond Board of California, today, hosted a virtual panel discussion featuring personalities from India and USA. The discussion, titled, ‘The importance of ensuring family health and nutrition amidst a pandemic’ focused on the current health situation in the country and highlighted preventive measures families can include within their daily diets and lifestyle.
Leading the discussion was Bollywood actress, Soha Ali Khan, Pilates Expert and Diet & Nutrition Consultant, Madhuri Ruia, Regional Head – Dietetics, Max Healthcare – Delhi, Ritika Samaddar and Emily Fleischmann, VP – Global Marketing Development, Almond Board of California. The panel was moderated by RJ Shezzi from Hyderabad.
Through the discussion, all panelists shared anecdotes from their personal lives and situations, prompting families across India to pay special attention to their lifestyle and dietary intake during the pandemic. Stressing on the importance of eating nutritious meals, exercising and inculcating conscious snacking habits, the panelist’s highlighted small changes that families in India can incorporate into their lifestyle to strengthen immunity, enhance safety and increase overall preparedness.
Speaking during the discussion, popular Bollywood actress Soha Ali Khan said, “While the world continues to work tirelessly to find a cure for Covid-19, as a wife and mother, I feel it’s also my responsibility to undertake adequate preventive measures to ensure my family’s safety and good health. As we learn to adjust to this new sense of normal, the most important thing we can do is pledge to lead a healthier lifestyle inclusive of proper nutrition including immunity strengthening foods. A good way to begin is by adding a handful of almonds to your family’s diet. Almonds are a source of zinc, which plays an important role in growth, development, and the maintenance of immune function.”
Ritika Samaddar, Regional Head – Dietetics, Max Healthcare – Delhi said, “The current pandemic has highlighted more than ever, the need for proper nutrition amongst Indian families. Many Indians suffer from ailments such as blood pressure, cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes and obesity, each of which make one susceptible to Covid-19. Hence, it’s absolutely important for families to revisit their diet and healthcare habits, and adjust to this new normal. Whether you are suffering from one of the aforementioned ailments, or are at risk, be sure to include nuts like almonds, seasonal fruits, vegetables and probiotics that are nutrient rich and add to the body’s overall health.”
Pilates Expert and Diet & Nutrition ConsultantMadhuri Ruia said, “For any person’s well-being it’s important to consume a balanced diet, incorporate regular exercise, ensure adequate sleep and practice self-care. Each of these elements have become pertinent in the current context, when there is a cloud of uncertainty and feelings of fear. As individuals, I feel we should do our best to take care of our family and our well-being and the easiest way to do this by making relevant changes to our lifestyle. Start by adding at least 30 minutes of any exercise every day – a daily walk, squats, Zumba, or aerobics – but be careful to do it while following social distancing norms. Supplement your fitness routine, by practicing mindful snacking and opt for foods like roasted or salted almonds, which have satiating properties and may promote feelings of fullness. Besides being a healthy snack, almonds are a source of copper and folate, which are known to contribute to a normal function of the immune system.”
Emily Fleishman, VP – Global Marketing Development, Almond Board of California said, “As part of our ongoing efforts, and also during this pandemic, the Almond Board of California has been persistently working towards educating consumers on the importance of proper nutrition and the need to maintain a healthy lifestyle. We have also invested in years of scientific research to understand almond health benefits across heart health, diabetes and weight management and skin health – which are all relevant to Indian consumers, especially now. Awareness around good food choices, and snacking habits is key to leading a healthy lifestyle, and for us, it’s important to make sure that families across India have access to this information.”
By making these small lifestyle changes, and consistently following them through, families across India can make a healthy difference to their lives, strengthen immunity and also take relevant precautions to keep themselves safe from the ongoing outbreak.
ಬೆಂಗಳೂರು: ಕೊರೋನಾ ವಾರಿಯರ್ ಗಳಾದ ಪೊಲೀಸರಿಗೆ ಕೊರೋನಾ ತಗುಲಿದಾಗ ಚಿಕಿತ್ಸೆ ಪಡೆಯುವ ಸಲುವಾಗಿ ಸರ್ಕಾರವು ಕೂಡಲೇ ಆರೋಗ್ಯ ಭಾಗ್ಯದಡಿ ಹಣವನ್ನು ಎಲ್ಲಾ ನಿಯೋಜಿತ ಆಸ್ಪತ್ರೆಗಳಿಗೆ ಬಿಡುಗಡೆ ಮಾಡಿ ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿಗೆ ಪ್ರತ್ಯೇಕ ವ್ಯವಸ್ಥೆ ಮಾಡುವುದರ ಜೊತೆಗೆ ಹಲವಾರು ಬದಲಾವಣೆಗಳನ್ನು ಮಾಡಲಾಗುತ್ತಿದೆ ಎಂದು ಗೃಹ ಸಚಿವ ಬಸವರಾಜ ಬೊಮ್ಮಾಯಿ ಆದೇಶ ಹೊರಡಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ.
ಲಾಕ್ ಡೌನ್ ವೇಳೆ ಹಾಗೂ ನಂತರ ಕೊರೋನಾ ತಡೆಯುವಲ್ಲಿ ಮಹತ್ವದ ಪಾತ್ರ ವಹಿಸುತ್ತಿದ್ದಾರೆ. ಈಗ ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಇಲಾಖೆಯಲ್ಲೇ ಸಾಕಷ್ಟು ಜನರಿಗೆ ಸೋಂಕು ತಗುಲಿ ಆತಂಕ ಹೆಚ್ಚಾಗಿರುವ ಹಿನ್ನೆಲೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಅವರಿಗೆ ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಇಲಾಖೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಹಲವು ಬದಲಾವಣೆಗಳನ್ನು ಮಾಡಿ ಆದೇಶ ಹೊರಡಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ.
ಪ್ರತಿಯೊಬ್ಬ ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಕಾನ್ ಸ್ಟೇಬಲ್ ಗಳಿಗೆ ಶಿಫ್ಟ್ ಆಧಾರದ ಮೇಲೆ ಕರ್ತವ್ಯ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸುವಂತೆ ಸೂಚಿಸುವುದು. ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಠಾಣೆಗಳಲ್ಲಿ ಕೋವಿಡ್ -19 ಹರಡುವ ಸ್ಥಳವಾಗಿರುವುದರಿಂದ ಅವಶ್ಯಕತೆ ಇರುವ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿ ಮಾತ್ರ ನಿಯೋಜಿಸುವುದು. ಮೂಲಕ ಸಾರ್ವಜನಿಕ ದೂರುಗಳನ್ನು ಆನ್ಲೈನ್ ಗಳ ಮೂಲಕ ಸ್ವೀಕರಿಸಿ ದಾಖಲಾದ ದೂರುಗಳನ್ನು ವಿಚಾರಣೆ ಮಾಡುವುದು. 50 ವರ್ಷ ಮೇಲ್ಪಟ್ಟ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿಗಳಿಗೆ ಮನೆಯಿಂದಲೇ ಕಾರ್ಯನಿರ್ವಹಿಸುವಂತೆ ಸೂಚಿಸುವುದು.
ಕರ್ತವ್ಯ ಮುಗಿದ ನಂತರ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿ ಹಾಗೂ ಠಾಣೆಗಳನ್ನು ಸ್ವಚ್ಛಗೊಳಿಸುವ ವ್ಯವಸ್ಥೆ ಮಾಡುವುದು. ಅದಕ್ಕಾಗಿ ಬೇಕಾಗುವ ಹಣಕಾಸಿನ ನೆರವು ನೀಡುವುದು. ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಠಾಣೆಗಳಲ್ಲಿ ಸ್ವಾಗತಕಾರರ ಸ್ಥಳಗಳಲ್ಲಿ ಗಾಜಿನ ಕ್ಯಾಬಿನೆಟ್ ಗಳನ್ನು ಅಳವಡಿಸಿ ದೂರುಗಳನ್ನು ಸ್ವೀಕರಿಸುವುದು.
ಕೋವಿಡ್-19 ಆಸ್ಪತ್ರೆ ಹಾಗೂ ಸ್ಮಶಾನ ಸ್ಥಳಗಳಲ್ಲಿ ಕರ್ತವ್ಯ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸುವ ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿಗೆ ಮಾಸ್ಕ್, ಹೆಡ್ ಗ್ಲೆರ್,ಗ್ಲೌಸ್,ಹಾಗೂ ಪಿಪಿಇ ಕಿಟ್ ಗಳನ್ನು ನೀಡುವುದು. ಪೊಲೀಸ್ ಸಿಬ್ಬಂದಿಯ ರೋಗ ನಿರೋಧಕ ಶಕ್ತಿ ವೃದ್ಧಿಸಲು ಆಯುಷ್ / ಆಯುರ್ವೇದಿಕ್ ಔಷಧಗಳನ್ನು ನೀಡಲು ಸೂಚಿಸಲಾಗಿದೆ. ಈ ಎಲ್ಲಾ ಅಂಶಗಳನ್ನು ಹಿರಿಯ ಅಧಿಕಾರಿಗಳು ಕಟ್ಟುನಿಟ್ಟಾಗಿ ಪಾಲಿಸುವಂತೆ ಸೂಚನೆ ನೀಡಿ ಆದೇಶ ಹೊರಡಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ.
~India set to hit peak of 6.5 lakh active cases on August 21~
~The report indicates an alarming rise in COVID-19 cases in Southern states including Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Kerala ~
~ Orissa, Bihar and West Bengal are showing signs as the next epicentre for COVID-19 in the country~
~ The earlier hardest hit states of Maharashtra and Delhi has made significant progress in reducing transmission rate~
Mumbai, July 13, 2020: Over the past 4 months, India has been in the grips of a pandemic that has uprooted the livelihoods of millions, impacting the economy adversely. Amid all the uncertainty, there is one question that stands above all, when will the outbreak end, and when can India expect to return to some semblance of normalcy? Tracking the coronavirus pandemic in India for the past several weeks, Times Fact-India Outbreak Report, has released its latest projections of the COVID-19 pandemic highlighting the peak and end dates at both National and State levels.
India, the third worst-hit country in the world after the US and Brazil, is projected to hit its peak of 6.45 Lakh active cases on August 21, indicates the latest mathematical modelling by the Times Fact-India Outbreak Report. This projection is based on the ‘most likely’ scenario and as per SEIR model, the peak is projected to be at 6.98 lakh active cases on August 23. The report shows that following India’s peak, daily active case counts are projected to decline by mid-October, thereby establishing India’s recovery from COVID-19.
Following various States implementing relaxations to revive the nation’s economy, the study shows that the easing of mobility restrictions has led to abandoning of safety protocols and significantly contributing to India’s peak being pushed by approximately 40 days. The analysis had earlier predicted a peak by July 15, which now has been pushed to August 21. A continued failure to practise social distancing could very well skew India’s coronavirus curve further to the right and upwards, yielding a higher peak, and more distant end date. This report aims to arm citizens on the evolving pandemic scenario, critical in the next 30-40days and therefore practice safety measures to flatten the curve.
Times Fact-India Outbreak Report: Key takeaways
1. National and State COVID -19 projection of active cases
A. India is projected to hit its peak of 6,45,700 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 21, and 6,97,714 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 23.
B. Alarming rise in COVID-19 cases in Southern states,
a) Karnataka is projected to hit a peak of 53,546 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 04 and its end is projected as September 25. As per the SEIR model, the state will reach a peak of 69,387 active cases on August 04 and is expected to end by September 17.Bangalore is projected to hit a peak of 33,772 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 10 and its end is projected as by September 25. As per the SEIR model the city will reach a peak of 23,429 active cases on August 10 and its end is projected as September 20
b) Tamil Nadu is projected to hit a peak of 53,075 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on July 21 and its end is projected by September 25. As per the SEIR model, the state will reach a peak of 68,379 active cases on August 01 and its end is projected as September 18.
c) Kerala is projected to hit its peak of 4372active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 10 and its end is projected as September 18. As per the SEIR model, the state will reach a peak of 4,835 active cases on August 20 and its end is projected as September 18.
d) Telangana is projected to hit its peak of 24,232 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on July 29 and its end is projected as August 25. As per the SEIR model, Telangana will touch a peak of 29,097 active cases on July 29 and its end is projected asSeptember 19.
e) Andhra Pradesh is projected to hit its peak of 34,632 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 16 and its end is projected touch as September 25. The state will see a peak of 43,313 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 16.
C. Maharashtra, the worst-hit state, is projected to hit its peak of 1,43,181 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 1 and its end is projected as September 30. The state will see 1,31,832 active cases as per the SEIR model on July 29 and its end is projected as September 23.The report shows that Thane now is and will be the worst hit district in Maharashtra with more number of active cases and a higher peak than Mumbai. Thane is projected to hit the peak with 44,196 actives cases on July 26 according to the ‘most likely’ model and its end is projected as September 24. Pune is projected to hit its peak of27,688 active cases on July 29, according to the ‘most likely’ model and its end is projected as September 18. As per SEIR model, Pune will reach a peak of 15,564 peak active cases on July 16 and its end is projected as August 17.
D. Uttar Pradesh is projected to hit its peak of34,260 on August 18 according to the ‘most likely’ model and its end is projected as September 29. The state will see a peak of 31,567 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 18 and its end is projected as September 19.
E. Rajasthan is projected to hit its peak of 7998cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 02 and its end is projected as September 29. The state will see a peak of 7,110 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 02 and its end is projected as September 09.
F. West Bengal is projected to hit its peak of 19,777 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 20 and its end is projected asOctober 03. The state will see a peak of 19,250 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 28 and its end is projected as September19.
G. Delhi is projected to hit its peak of 30,851 active cases as per the SEIR model on August 4 and its end is projected as September 17.
H. Gujarat is projected to hit its peak of 10,521 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on July 21 and its end is projected as September 20.The state will see a peak of 12,770 active cases as per the SEIR model on July 28 and its end is projected as September 03. Surat is projected to hit its peak of 5775 active cases according to the ‘most likely’ model on August 11 and its end is projected as September 20.
2. R0 (Reproduction rate) for India is slowly going down to 1.69 from 1.77 in last 22 days.
3. India Doubling Days has increased to 20 days (as compared to 16 days a month back) but still low.
4. All the major states like Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Haryana are showing a downward trend with R0 less than 1.5.
5. Mumbai is showing a downward trend with R0 for the first time falling to 1.7.
6. The Doubling day has reduced for some of the states including Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, Delhi which is a cause of concern.
7. Epicentre has moved from Mumbai to Delhi and now to Bangalore, Chennai, Telangana.
8. Growth rate in new epicentres are higher than the previous ones – potential to put strain on the health infrastructure. Thane reached 30,000 active cases (from 10,000) in 20 days as compared to Mumbai which took 37 days.
9. Orissa, Bihar and West Bengal have started to show signs of growth and becoming future epicentres.
10. Active cases in Bengaluru has gone up considerably in the last 20 days from below 400 to touching close to 10000 (9442) and started moving up again.
11. The overall growth rate of India on a 7 day moving average scale is 3.5% while the recovery rate at the same scale is 4.0%.
Methodology: Led by insights and efficacy, Times Fact India Outbreak Report a joint endeavour by Times Network and global data and digital consulting firm Protiviti, has achieved an accuracy rate of 96% for active cases for its previous projections. The report showcases several pertinent data points which includes India’s possible peak points, state & city wise projections and active cases over a period of time and report follows a sophisticated and vigorous mathematical modelling. Parsed by reputed data scientists and quantitative experts, Times Fact India Outbreak Reportis based on three different models, The Percentage Model, which involves mapping trends from Italy and the United States onto India, the Time Series Model, which involves factors in data across time periods in China and South Korea in addition to two polynomial regression models adapted to Indian data, and the Susceptible Exposed Infected Recovered (SEIR) model which is based on an estimation of a reproduction rate of the epidemic. Drawing critical information from central government data, state government bulletins, and daily updates provided by the Health Ministry, the report is a holistic COVID -19 projection for the nation.
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